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Facts on ground in Wisconsin paint tighter contest between Trump, Biden



You could be forgiven for not seeing Democratic presidential candidate Joseph R. Biden starting to sweat in Wisconsin.

First, there was the summer of nonstop crises for President Trump, then the violence in Kenosha that the media assured us would focus suburban women more on race relations than burning buildings, then the string of polls suggesting the president is losing every imaginable key voter in the state.

But Mr. Biden is sweating.

That’s because Wisconsin is not just the most coveted battleground — central to Republicans’ strategy and chosen site for the Democratic National Convention after Mr. Trump’s 2016 upset — but also because it’s more poised to tighten more than any other swing state. The Supreme Court vacancy that is shaking up the race is but one of several reasons, many of them structural, that the current coastal view of Wisconsin misses the facts on the ground. Again.

“It very much is still winnable for Trump down the stretch, and trending in the right direction,” said Matt Batzel, Wisconsin-based national executive director of the conservative group American Majority Action, which is doing voter outreach, including door-knocking and text campaigns, in crucial areas.

The latest Real Clear Politics polling

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